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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
With the weigh-ins finish, TJ appears sharp and has shown himself well ready for the 125lb branch. On the feet he should have an important advantage over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, together with his unorthodox style, will let him land severe volume against the limited wrestler. Additionally leg kicks will be a mortal option against the front heavy karate stance. Cejudo will be needing takedowns and significant top control if he is to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself as well as an arguably more harmful grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s chances to take and on the ground he will be difficult to control for long periods. Overall the road to victory looks slim for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who carries good cardio and much superior volume to acquire more than 5 rounds. The wager will be TJ Dillashaw to become the dual champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some defects to their match but stylistically that is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is more pliable but likely faster with more quantity. Ostovich includes a simpler style but neither fighter is likely to land substantial damage here. The strength and size for Ostovich will probably be a significant advantage on the earth where both girls tend to bring the battle. Vanzant is tenacious but takes insecure options and leaves a great deal of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise her exceptional control means she’ll spend much more time on shirt or at dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth fight where we get excellent value on the underdog chances.
Bet = Ostovich in 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the”Violence Queen” is making her debut following an impressive run since the KSW champion. Matching up using Calderwood she has the benefit in most areas. The aggression and power of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will be overpowering for Calderwood who lacks speed and head motion. This fight is probably to play out on the toes but on the mat it is Lipski with the far better skills. Calderwood is coming from a”lucky” submission win in a fight where she was having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she’s been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and look for a way out. Lipski though appears to be very durable and struggles with heart. In 24 years old she also will be revealing huge improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) chances. Risk 5 Units to win 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a style which is proven against Cowboy together with his rapid start and constant pressure. If this fight goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the speed, holding Cerrone from the fence and procuring takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to success is snatching a submission off his back but that’s a little chance against a powerful wrestler. The energy, athleticism, youth and fashion of Hernandez is going to be a great deal for the veteran to manage with only 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is generally a slow starter and the drop back to 155lb is unlikely to help his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez at 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
That is a rematch fight from the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through conclusion. Today it’s Ortiz that has shown the most improvements in his game, currently riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a leading contender but does look like he is slightly declining in his recent appearances. As an underdog Ortiz includes a couple of avenues to success. He’ll be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of volume, but packs considerable power. Benavidez has been wobbled consistently lately conflicts suggesting his strength is fading. Additionally the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight since Ortiz brings a relentless grinding pace. This should be a close fight that seems to be lined overly broad.
Bet = Ortiz at 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is going up as a late replacement to take on the difficult veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is broad. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed considerably into his later years and with his durability fading his lack of head movement is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not known for his striking yet found enormous success himself on the toes in his last fight against Glover. The clear dilemma for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be improving here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns but if he doesn’t get an early entry it’ll be tough to keep up with the younger, faster and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can’t get it into the mat his choices look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a solid bet.
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